PolyTrace
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Trader profile

december

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$42.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 19 settled so far8 open · 52% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded185Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.5% / $95% interval −99.5% to +96.4%43 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.6%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$64.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2K
Concentration
43%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$27.8KPnL+$10.3KAvg50¢Current79.4¢35,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$18.9KPnL+$1.6KAvg91.1¢Current99.4¢18,999.99Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$7.2KPnL−$10.3KAvg50¢Current20.7¢35,000Shares
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
YesValue$7KPnL+$98Avg84.3¢Current85.5¢8,199.99Shares
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$60Avg77¢Current74¢2,000Shares
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
YesValue$972PnL+$88Avg85¢Current93.5¢1,040.05Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$670PnL−$410Avg54¢Current33.5¢1,999.99Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
YesValue$574PnL−$2.2KAvg91¢Current18.5¢3,100Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet december: edge −1.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −99.5%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.6% over 42 fills); +$42.2K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.