Trader profile

alienhand

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-21

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate30.8%224 settled · past 180 days10 open · 3% underwater · 3 days ago

Lifetime volume$76.8K759 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded363Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.8% · Decided 224 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded3 days ago

Current position value: $143
Snapshot cash PnL: −$2.4K
Concentration: 14.1%
Positions: 127

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?

YesValue$20PnL+$10Avg26¢Current52.5¢38.46Shares

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?

YesValue$19PnL+$9Avg19¢Current36.5¢52.63Shares

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?

YesValue$18PnL+$8Avg22¢Current39.5¢45.45Shares

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?

YesValue$15PnL+$5Avg19¢Current28.5¢52.63Shares

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?

YesValue$15PnL$0Avg65¢Current65¢23.08Shares

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?

YesValue$14PnL+$2Avg22¢Current25¢54.55Shares

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?

YesValue$14PnL+$2Avg19¢Current21.5¢63.16Shares

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?

YesValue$10PnL+$0.36Avg14¢Current14.5¢71.43Shares

Showing 8 of 127 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet alienhand: 30.8% win rate over 224 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$1.4K lifetime P&L, $76.8K traded, updated 2026-09-21.