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Trader profile

Challenger.777

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 99% underwater · 56 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$328.5K65 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded20Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.3% / $95% interval −51.1% to +2.5%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−24.3%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete56 minutes ago
Current position value
$3.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.5K
Concentration
38.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$2Avg42.4¢Current42.5¢3,533.77Shares
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$14Avg46¢Current46.5¢2,717.39Shares
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$58Avg28.9¢Current27.5¢3,972.41Shares
YesValue$2PnL−$1.2KAvg30¢Current0.1¢4,166.67Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg49¢Current0¢4,591.84Shares
Japan · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg30.2¢Current0¢3,309.83Shares
Washington Mystics · YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg29¢Current0¢8,620.69Shares
Washington Mystics · NoValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg50.5¢Current0¢4,949.08Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Challenger.777: edge −24.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −51.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.3% over 10 fills); −$15K lifetime P&L, $328.5K traded, updated 2026-09-28.