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Trader profile

DerDon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$90.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.3%675 settled · past 90 days135 open · 37% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$13M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded719Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.8% / $95% interval −128.6% to +124.9%66 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.1%n=14 settled
Politics
−23.6%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.3% · Decided 675 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$107.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3.6K
Concentration
14%
Largest share of value
Positions
137
Showing the largest 8 of 137
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$15KPnL−$184Avg96.2¢Current95.1¢15,800.37Shares
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$596Avg63¢Current68¢11,839.39Shares
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
NoValue$7KPnL+$2.6KAvg33.7¢Current53.5¢13,007.31Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$7KPnL+$90Avg98.1¢Current99.4¢6,999.99Shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$895Avg64.5¢Current80.5¢5,582.09Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$189Avg94¢Current99.4¢3,528.38Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$72Avg76.8¢Current78.5¢4,345.72Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$349Avg54.8¢Current61.4¢5,280.79Shares
Showing 8 of 137 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DerDon: 53.3% win rate over 675 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.6%, n=66 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.1% over 14 fills); +$90.9K lifetime P&L, $13M traded, updated 2026-09-24.