PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf780…be2c

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$20.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.9%161 settled · past 180 days0 open · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded201Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−55.3% / $95% interval −418.2% to +307.5%44 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−42.3%n=11 settled
Sports
−45.1%n=33 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.9% · Decided 161 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$40Avg14.8¢Current0¢270.14Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg1.8¢Current0¢1,125.01Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg17¢Current0¢29.41Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$85Avg7¢Current0¢1,215.51Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg2¢Current0¢102.38Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg2.6¢Current0¢571.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg17.7¢Current0¢59.44Shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Conor McGregor · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg29.9¢Current0¢4,615.12Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf78024882a7b298247485ed485732b1e35c6be2c: 50.9% win rate over 161 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −55.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −418.2%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−42.3% over 11 fills); +$20.3K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.