PolyTrace
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Trader profile

poli.monaco

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$31.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75%24 settled · past 90 days12 open · 64% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$325.6K491 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded48Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.0% / $95% interval −64.6% to +44.6%21 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.4%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75% · Decided 24 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$40.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13K
Concentration
51.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$20.9KPnL+$7.7KAvg50¢Current79.4¢26,361Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$188Avg83¢Current85.5¢7,499.96Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$5.4KPnL−$7.7KAvg50¢Current20.7¢26,361Shares
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
NoValue$2.6KPnL−$2.9KAvg61.6¢Current29¢8,837.87Shares
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$2.6KAvg61.8¢Current26.5¢7,289.6Shares
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$1.2KAvg57.8¢Current31¢4,313.32Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$169Avg44¢Current50.5¢2,603.15Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YesValue$243PnL+$59Avg44¢Current58¢418.42Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet poli.monaco: 75% win rate over 24 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.6%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.4% over 11 fills); +$31.6K lifetime P&L, $325.6K traded, updated 2026-09-23.