PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf705…3ca7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.1%739 settled · past 90 days194 open · 61% underwater · 50 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$94.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded717Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+39.5% / $95% interval −4.0% to +83.0%2,094 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+44.2%n=1,948 settled
Unmapped
−21.6%n=146 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.1% · Decided 739 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete50 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.2M
Snapshot cash PnL
−$35.5K
Concentration
5.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
194
Showing the largest 8 of 194
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?
NoValue$67.2KPnL−$559Avg96¢Current95.2¢70,554.1Shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$58.2KPnL+$658Avg98.4¢Current99.5¢58,482.69Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$53.6KPnL−$341Avg89.1¢Current88.5¢60,521.8Shares
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$52.1KPnL−$1.1KAvg92.4¢Current90.5¢57,574.37Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?
NoValue$40KPnL+$1.4KAvg95.9¢Current99.5¢40,210.13Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$38.5KPnL+$1.3KAvg93.3¢Current96.5¢39,963.12Shares
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$36.5KPnL+$356Avg97.5¢Current98.5¢37,022.59Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$36.3KPnL−$23.8KAvg56.3¢Current34¢106,775.15Shares
Showing 8 of 194 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7: 44.1% win rate over 739 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +39.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.0%, n=2,094 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+44.2% over 1,948 fills); +$2.3M lifetime P&L, $94.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.