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Trader profile

MathPsycho

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$45.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.2%557 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded680Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.6% / $95% interval −151.6% to +126.3%214 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.9%n=212 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.2% · Decided 557 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$3.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$221.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
213
Showing the largest 8 of 213
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Atlanta Dream · YesValue$3.7KPnL+$1.7KAvg53.3¢Current100¢3,667.78Shares
Magic · YesValue$0PnL−$216Avg27¢Current799.99Shares
Seattle Storm · YesValue$0PnL−$998Avg52¢Current1,920Shares
Atlanta Dream · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53¢Current1,889.96Shares
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg43.9¢Current3,274.02Shares
Spurs · NoValue$0PnL−$6.2KAvg64¢Current9,742.28Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$375Avg12¢Current3,125Shares
Trail BlazersValue$0PnL−$2KAvg53.8¢Current3,726.7Shares
Showing 8 of 213 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

SELLYES
Unknown · 84.2¢
unavailableThe settled result could not be read for this trade.
$1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 82.8¢
unavailableThe settled result could not be read for this trade.
$1K

About this wallet

Wallet MathPsycho: 47.2% win rate over 557 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −151.6%, n=214 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.9% over 212 fills); −$45.3K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.