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Trader profile

t4wfw

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$26.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$339.4K184 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded65Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.1% / $95% interval −129.2% to +83.0%34 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.1%n=34 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$41.5K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg42.4¢Current4,750.9Shares
Germany · YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg48¢Current5,315.27Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$666Avg50¢Current1,332Shares
Germany · YesValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg59¢Current4,902.19Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$47Avg5.2¢Current901.92Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$880Avg45¢Current1,956.22Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$491Avg49¢Current1,002.29Shares
Netherlands · YesValue$0PnL−$925Avg19¢Current4,866.84Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet t4wfw: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −23.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −129.2%, n=34 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.1% over 34 fills); −$26.4K lifetime P&L, $339.4K traded, updated 2026-09-19.