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Trader profile

Nooserac

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$850KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52%2,841 settled · past 90 days257 open · 49% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$175.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,158Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.6% / $95% interval −3.9% to +9.1%1,740 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+4.0%n=34 settled
Sports
+2.8%n=1,694 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52% · Decided 2,841 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$793.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$460.5K
Concentration
38.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
375
Showing the largest 8 of 375
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$306.9KPnL+$6.9KAvg50¢Current51.2¢600,000Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$293.1KPnL−$6.9KAvg50¢Current48.9¢600,000Shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$28.4KPnL+$16Avg92.3¢Current92.4¢30,794.98Shares
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$13.6KPnL+$174Avg95.9¢Current97.2¢14,002.21Shares
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
NoValue$9.5KPnL+$1.1KAvg87¢Current99¢9,602.92Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
NoValue$9.2KPnL−$2.1KAvg75.6¢Current61.5¢15,031.71Shares
Ole Miss vs. Florida
Florida · NoValue$8.9KPnL+$225Avg58¢Current59.5¢15,000Shares
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
NoValue$8.7KPnL+$491Avg91.5¢Current97¢9,000Shares
Showing 8 of 375 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nooserac: 52% win rate over 2,841 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +2.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.9%, n=1,740 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.8% over 1,694 fills); +$850K lifetime P&L, $175.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.