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Trader profile

0xdamocles

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$70.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate74.4%86 settled · past 90 days13 open · 24% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded261Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.6% / $95% interval −13.3% to +8.0%53 settled fills · 90d window
Tech
−1.5%n=10 settled
Politics
−1.7%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 74.4% · Decided 86 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$118.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.6K
Concentration
36.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$42.9KPnL+$5.3KAvg85.4¢Current97.4¢44,044.75Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$13.5KPnL+$948Avg86¢Current92.5¢14,588.49Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$12.9KPnL+$678Avg82¢Current86.5¢14,920.13Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$3.9KAvg68¢Current98¢12,999.75Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$12.1KPnL+$1.1KAvg88¢Current96.4¢12,500Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$11KPnL+$1KAvg90¢Current99.1¢11,132Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$7.5KPnL+$425Avg94¢Current99.7¢7,521Shares
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$212Avg90.4¢Current98.1¢2,767.45Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xdamocles: 74.4% win rate over 86 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.3%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Tech (−1.5% over 10 fills); +$70.9K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.