PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf559…f462

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$302.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.4%335 settled · past 90 days19 open · 93% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded725Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.0% / $95% interval −8.8% to +24.7%600 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+23.6%n=21 settled
Sports
+8.3%n=527 settled
Finance
−4.9%n=51 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.4% · Decided 335 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$72.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.3M
Concentration
43.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
263
Showing the largest 8 of 263
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$31.5KPnL−$18.5KAvg51.5¢Current32.5¢97,052.72Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$11.1KPnL−$2.1KAvg42.9¢Current36¢30,937.36Shares
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$10.9KPnL+$851Avg47¢Current51¢21,276.6Shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$434Avg1.6¢Current1.9¢173,516.76Shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$690Avg33.9¢Current26.5¢9,277.28Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$939Avg50.4¢Current36.5¢6,730.15Shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$181Avg0.9¢Current0.9¢274,414.13Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$436Avg4.9¢Current6.2¢35,944.15Shares
Showing 8 of 263 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462: 53.4% win rate over 335 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −8.8%, n=600 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+23.6% over 21 fills); −$302.6K lifetime P&L, $18.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.