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Trader profile

Treadmilled

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$193.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 12 settled so far2 open · 19% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$13.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded153Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.5% / $95% interval −46.4% to +33.4%30 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−7.1%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$111.3K
Concentration
99%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$407Avg65¢Current94¢1,403.17Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$13PnL−$94Avg68.8¢Current8.5¢156.54Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$29.8KAvg58.6¢Current0¢50,872.76Shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$6.3KAvg21.1¢Current0¢29,999.86Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.06Avg45¢Current0¢0.12Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$5.3KAvg24¢Current0¢21,999.99Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
YesValue$0PnL−$12.7KAvg31.1¢Current0¢40,752.83Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg2.7¢Current0¢187,185.46Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Treadmilled: edge −6.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −46.4%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−7.1% over 28 fills); +$193.3K lifetime P&L, $13.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.