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Trader profile

barcaa

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.4%76 settled · past 90 days3 open · 15% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$500.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded136Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.7% / $95% interval −9.9% to +4.6%51 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−2.9%n=50 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.4% · Decided 76 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$11K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.8K
Concentration
85.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
NoValue$9.5KPnL+$654Avg91¢Current97.8¢9,690.44Shares
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
YesValue$820PnL−$72Avg91.9¢Current84.5¢970.7Shares
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
YesValue$737PnL−$46Avg93¢Current87.5¢842Shares
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
NoValue$0PnL−$703Avg88.1¢Current0¢798.37Shares
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
YesValue$0PnL−$155Avg64.9¢Current0¢239Shares
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg20.6¢Current0¢8,165.86Shares
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?
NoValue$0PnL−$68Avg17¢Current0¢400Shares
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg67.3¢Current0¢2,028.27Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet barcaa: 68.4% win rate over 76 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.9%, n=51 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−2.9% over 50 fills); −$17.7K lifetime P&L, $500.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.