PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

TradingWave

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$174.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate29.7%347 settled · past 180 days40 open · 55% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$164M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded64Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−59.4% / $95% interval −353.4% to +234.6%39 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−61.9%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 29.7% · Decided 347 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$14.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.9K
Concentration
25.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
48
Showing the largest 8 of 48
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$3.7KPnL+$967Avg3.3¢Current4.5¢82,362.73Shares
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$1.4KAvg0.7¢Current2.4¢82,523.17Shares
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$1KAvg3.6¢Current10.5¢14,658.87Shares
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg0.9¢Current5.2¢25,914.09Shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$3.4KAvg10.9¢Current2.8¢41,941.34Shares
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$921PnL+$112Avg18¢Current20.5¢4,491.89Shares
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$661PnL+$100Avg1.9¢Current2.3¢29,385.95Shares
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$530PnL+$340Avg1.9¢Current5.3¢9,999.26Shares
Showing 8 of 48 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TradingWave: 29.7% win rate over 347 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −59.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −353.4%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−61.9% over 38 fills); −$174.7K lifetime P&L, $164M traded, updated 2026-09-23.