PolyTrace
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Trader profile

-Pain

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$193KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.4%873 settled · past 90 days2 open · 0% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded639Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.5% / $95% interval −123.6% to +148.6%198 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.4%n=162 settled
Unmapped
+9.3%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.4% · Decided 873 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$8.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$23.2K
Concentration
72.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Team Liquid · YesValue$6.1KPnL+$122Avg98¢Current100¢6,122.4Shares
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$104Avg37¢Current40.5¢3,000Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$64Avg39¢Current41.5¢2,570Shares
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
Sentinels · NoValue$0PnL−$162Avg51.7¢Current0¢312.56Shares
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
FlyQuest · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg27¢Current0¢4,377.1Shares
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg41¢Current0¢4,878Shares
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
Cloud9 · NoValue$0PnL−$883Avg32.4¢Current0¢2,727.38Shares
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner
LYON · YesValue$0PnL−$534Avg50¢Current0¢1,066.91Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet -Pain: 54.4% win rate over 873 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −123.6%, n=198 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.4% over 162 fills); +$193K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.