PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf452…8ff9

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded352Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−54.4% / $95% interval −744.8% to +636.1%24 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−54.4%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
162
Showing the largest 8 of 162
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$73Avg12.4¢Current0¢586.14Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg0.2¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg0.4¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$111Avg1.1¢Current0¢10,325.15Shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢13,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$119Avg58.2¢Current0¢204.85Shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.5¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg26.9¢Current0¢5,399.7Shares
Showing 8 of 162 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf452408faa1a0eedad591f65d8f5f5c7bbc58ff9: edge −54.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −744.8%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−54.4% over 24 fills); −$2.4K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.