Trader profile

Semen-Demon

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$17.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…13 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$860.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded116Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $2.7K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$4.4K
Concentration: 28.1%
Positions: 21

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$763PnL−$951Avg11.7¢Current5.2¢14,673.23Shares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$627PnL−$392Avg14.6¢Current9¢6,970.72Shares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$513PnL−$284Avg5.6¢Current3.6¢14,240.95Shares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$358PnL−$268Avg4.2¢Current2.4¢14,914.96Shares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$119PnL−$289Avg2.9¢Current0.9¢13,960.94Shares

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YesValue$107PnL−$300Avg2.5¢Current0.7¢16,425.06Shares

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

YesValue$107PnL−$22Avg12.7¢Current10.5¢1,016.1Shares

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

YesValue$62PnL−$13Avg7.3¢Current6.1¢1,022.38Shares

Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

1 month ago

SELLYES

Fishback <10% · 80¢

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Open market →$1.2K

2 months ago

SELLNO

55 · 97¢

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Open market →$2.6K

2 months ago

SELLNO

56 · 97.5¢

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Open market →$8.8K

2 months ago

SELLNO

56 · 97.5¢

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Open market →$5.4K

About this wallet

Wallet Semen-Demon: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$17.8K lifetime P&L, $860.8K traded, updated 2026-09-22.