PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pieped

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$2.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…20 open · 15% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$588.3K954 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded107Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.7% / $95% interval −584.5% to +539.2%22 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−17.3%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$34.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$124
Concentration
21.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
52
Showing the largest 8 of 52
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$7.5KPnL+$950Avg65¢Current74.5¢10,000Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$6.2KPnL+$1.5KAvg50¢Current65.5¢9,489.24Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$751Avg55¢Current63.5¢8,836.16Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$639Avg55.1¢Current62.5¢8,604.96Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$95Avg56¢Current58.5¢3,813.88Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL+$254Avg59¢Current67.5¢2,982.86Shares
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$275Avg16¢Current13.5¢11,017.9Shares
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$26Avg26¢Current25.5¢5,152.51Shares
Showing 8 of 52 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pieped: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −584.5%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−17.3% over 12 fills); −$2.9K lifetime P&L, $588.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.