PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf402…ce7a

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$28KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 9 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M720 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.3% / $95% interval −47.9% to +9.2%93 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−19.3%n=93 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz · NoValue$0PnL−$24Avg25.7¢Current0¢94.26Shares
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka · YesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg16¢Current0¢11,250.01Shares
Shymkent 2: Alexandr Binda vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
Alexandr Binda · YesValue$0PnL−$440Avg22¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg40.7¢Current0¢981.6Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges
Tomas Etcheverry · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg47¢Current0¢212.77Shares
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios
Nick Kyrgios · NoValue$0PnL−$5.7KAvg58.9¢Current0¢9,683.89Shares
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe
Taylor Fritz · YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg34.7¢Current0¢7,202.78Shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong
Pedro Martinez · YesValue$0PnL−$686Avg34.3¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf4020197086a05ebac5567ce33ffba7ba4dbce7a: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −19.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.9%, n=93 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−19.3% over 93 fills); −$28K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.