PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf3ce…a57a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$334.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.8%559 settled · past 90 days2 open · 0% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,674Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.2% / $95% interval −6.0% to +14.4%396 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.0%n=379 settled
Unmapped
−7.8%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.8% · Decided 559 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$32.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Concentration
73.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
682
Showing the largest 8 of 682
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · YesValue$23.8KPnL+$8.3KAvg65¢Current100¢23,796.92Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
LGD Gaming · NoValue$8.5KPnL+$8.5KAvg0¢Current48.5¢17,527.14Shares
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
Ilbirs eSportsValue$0PnL−$1KAvg35.7¢Current0¢2,886.37Shares
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner
GLYPH · YesValue$0PnL−$53Avg80¢Current0¢66.2Shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$795Avg36.4¢Current0¢2,186.28Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$6.9KAvg69.8¢Current0¢9,925.87Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg35¢Current0¢8,002.86Shares
Dota 2: 1win vs Ivory - Game 2 Winner
IvoryValue$0PnL−$425Avg25.6¢Current0¢1,661.75Shares
Showing 8 of 682 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf3ce7f04dde4f8c5aed19a20e5ecd8520e5ca57a: 59.8% win rate over 559 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.0%, n=396 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.0% over 379 fills); +$334.7K lifetime P&L, $7.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.