PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf3a1…bf4b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$158.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.8%143 settled · past 90 days0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded159Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −18.5% to +15.2%270 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.6%n=270 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.8% · Decided 143 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$482.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
85
Showing the largest 8 of 85
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connell
Stefanos Sakellaridis · YesValue$0PnL−$9.7KAvg38.9¢Current0¢25,000Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon
Titouan Droguet · YesValue$0PnL−$6.3KAvg36¢Current0¢17,500Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin
Spencer Johnson · YesValue$0PnL−$13.7KAvg41¢Current0¢33,378.05Shares
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova
Antonia Ruzic · YesValue$0PnL−$10.1KAvg50.7¢Current0¢19,990.72Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto
Kei Nishikori · YesValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg20¢Current0¢19,047.61Shares
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg23¢Current0¢8,608.69Shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Los Angeles DodgersValue$0PnL−$11.5KAvg49¢Current0¢23,400Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$15.2KAvg54.7¢Current0¢27,829.21Shares
Showing 8 of 85 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf3a1493cf87d23177107b5b3f737f0c586f1bf4b: 44.8% win rate over 143 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.5%, n=270 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.6% over 270 fills); −$158.8K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.