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Trader profile

Bakuskyvs

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.5%445 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$307.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded436Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.4% / $95% interval −558.5% to +533.7%24 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−12.4%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.5% · Decided 445 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30
Concentration
69.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Natural Disaster in 2026?
YesValue$0.96PnL−$0.18Avg19¢Current16¢6Shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YesValue$0.43PnL−$0.68Avg22¢Current8.5¢5Shares
Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg24¢Current0¢5Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19?
YesValue$0PnL−$14Avg23¢Current0¢61.25Shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg69¢Current0¢7.73Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 14?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg5.9¢Current0¢82.74Shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg50¢Current0¢5.7Shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 1?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.20Avg2¢Current0¢10Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bakuskyvs: 75.5% win rate over 445 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −558.5%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−12.4% over 24 fills); +$9.7K lifetime P&L, $307.5K traded, updated 2026-09-22.