PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf201…527e

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$515.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.9%1,633 settled · past 90 days8 open · 72% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$63.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded266Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.0% / $95% interval −39.6% to +21.6%2,232 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.9%n=1,808 settled
Unmapped
−33.8%n=424 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.9% · Decided 1,633 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$11.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.5M
Concentration
57.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
827
Showing the largest 8 of 827
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 3 Winner
Kawaii Kiwis · YesValue$6.4KPnL+$2KAvg67.6¢Current99.5¢6,413.2Shares
LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 4 Winner
Veni Vidi Vici · NoValue$2.4KPnL+$38Avg97.5¢Current99.1¢2,456.57Shares
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
Kalmychata · YesValue$1.4KPnL−$3.6KAvg59.9¢Current16.5¢8,401.51Shares
LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs
Veni Vidi Vici · NoValue$792PnL−$886Avg48.7¢Current23¢3,441.35Shares
Will a Player Pick Teemo in a Tier 1 League/Event this Year?
YesValue$105PnL+$96Avg4.9¢Current52.7¢200Shares
LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner
Veni Vidi Vici · NoValue$3PnL−$1KAvg17.8¢Current0.1¢5,869.41Shares
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
KT Rolster Challengers · YesValue$0.92PnL+$0.39Avg58.2¢Current100¢0.92Shares
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
Team Liquid · YesValue$0.88PnL+$0.25Avg71.7¢Current100¢0.88Shares
Showing 8 of 827 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf201a19b43471261a3c1ba9247335d55270e527e: 48.9% win rate over 1,633 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −39.6%, n=2,232 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.9% over 1,808 fills); +$515.5K lifetime P&L, $63.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.