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Trader profile

tunatyler

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$217KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.3%64 settled · past 90 days50 open · 19% underwater · 17 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$14M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded326Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.1% / $95% interval −328.4% to +336.7%25 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+2.9%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.3% · Decided 64 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete17 minutes ago
Current position value
$125.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$16.9K
Concentration
10.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
55
Showing the largest 8 of 55
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$13.1KPnL+$3.8KAvg46.4¢Current65.5¢20,000.07Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$8.1KPnL+$3.8KAvg8.6¢Current16.4¢49,232.15Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$7.8KPnL+$2.6KAvg66.8¢Current99.6¢7,816.88Shares
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
YesValue$6.7KPnL+$792Avg51.8¢Current58.7¢11,490.53Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$6.4KPnL+$2KAvg51.1¢Current73.5¢8,761.27Shares
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$5.9KPnL+$669Avg63.4¢Current71.5¢8,289.55Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$5.7KPnL+$2.6KAvg30.6¢Current56.7¢10,000.26Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$563Avg64¢Current71.5¢7,499.98Shares
Showing 8 of 55 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tunatyler: 45.3% win rate over 64 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −328.4%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+2.9% over 15 fills); +$217K lifetime P&L, $14M traded, updated 2026-09-24.