PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf12f…b30f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$69.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.3%717 settled · past 180 days7 open · 66% underwater · 30 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,223Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.0% / $95% interval −8.3% to +24.3%876 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+7.8%n=874 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.3% · Decided 717 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete30 minutes ago
Current position value
$14.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$600K
Concentration
30.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
674
Showing the largest 8 of 674
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Set Handicap: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)
Adrian Mannarino · NoValue$4.5KPnL+$2KAvg55.4¢Current99.6¢4,511.6Shares
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva · NoValue$2.8KPnL−$450Avg47.1¢Current40.5¢6,840.01Shares
Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli · NoValue$2.7KPnL−$301Avg56.1¢Current50.5¢5,343.74Shares
St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur
Daniel MasurValue$2.4KPnL−$23Avg52¢Current51.5¢4,615.58Shares
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-4.5) vs Alexander Shevchenko (+4.5)
Alexander Shevchenko · NoValue$1.9KPnL−$60Avg56.7¢Current55¢3,528.16Shares
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo
Jie Cui · YesValue$616PnL−$884Avg28¢Current11.5¢5,357.14Shares
St. Tropez: Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone
Billy Harris · YesValue$3PnL−$2.2KAvg44¢Current0.1¢5,000Shares
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg
Alexander Donski · YesValue$0PnL−$240Avg26¢Current0¢924Shares
Showing 8 of 674 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf12f7688a0bc8cc744ef871f70b74c16a976b30f: 42.3% win rate over 717 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +8.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −8.3%, n=876 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+7.8% over 874 fills); +$69.4K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.