Trader profile

LinaBell

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$129KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…52 open · 38% underwater · 21 hours ago

Lifetime volume$12.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded581Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−18.6% / $95% interval −238.6% to +201.4%31 settled fills · 90d window

Politics: −10.5%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded21 hours ago

Current position value: $52.5K
Snapshot cash PnL: +$1.2K
Concentration: 24.4%
Positions: 53

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$12.8KPnL+$2.8KAvg74.1¢Current95.1¢13,495.74Shares

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

NoValue$10.8KPnL+$76Avg83.8¢Current84.4¢12,810.49Shares

US recession by end of 2026?

NoValue$6.4KPnL+$757Avg80.6¢Current91.5¢6,975.8Shares

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

NoValue$4.5KPnL+$645Avg83.1¢Current97¢4,649.31Shares

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YesValue$3.1KPnL+$1Avg34.5¢Current34.5¢8,970.55Shares

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

YesValue$2KPnL−$49Avg84¢Current82¢2,472Shares

Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?

NoValue$1.8KPnL+$645Avg60¢Current94¢1,896Shares

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

NoValue$1.6KPnL+$19Avg85.2¢Current86.3¢1,904.3Shares

Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 days ago

BUYNO

Jon Ossoff · 84.5¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Open market →$3.1K

2 days ago

SELLYES

Jon Ossoff · 16.5¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Open market →$1.5K

2 days ago

BUYNO

Jon Ossoff · 83.5¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Open market →$7.6K

3 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 99.8¢

Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerOpen market →$6.5K

3 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 95.8¢

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Open market →$2.1K

About this wallet

Wallet LinaBell: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −18.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −238.6%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−10.5% over 14 fills); +$129K lifetime P&L, $12.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.