PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xf0df…69c5

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.4%177 settled · past 180 days9 open · 16% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.7% / $95% interval −125.2% to +93.7%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−30.0%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.4% · Decided 177 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$7.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5K
Concentration
38.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
41
Showing the largest 8 of 41
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$2.7KPnL−$128Avg91.6¢Current87.5¢3,116.4Shares
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$48Avg83.7¢Current85.9¢2,248.29Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$655Avg5.9¢Current11.5¢11,648.07Shares
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$380PnL−$5Avg86.6¢Current85.5¢444Shares
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$259PnL+$61Avg27.9¢Current36.5¢710.37Shares
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$254PnL+$2Avg94.8¢Current95.5¢265.68Shares
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$174PnL+$7Avg83.7¢Current87¢199.5Shares
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
YesValue$42PnL−$2Avg11¢Current10.5¢404Shares
Showing 8 of 41 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf0df89d9f60612e56f005a28d47210e1cb2369c5: 51.4% win rate over 177 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −125.2%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−30.0% over 16 fills); +$4.1K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.