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Trader profile

Hauchn

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$234.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.3%59 settled · past 90 days14 open · 67% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded85Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.0% / $95% interval −64.5% to +34.6%106 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−14.3%n=105 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.3% · Decided 59 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$31.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.4K
Concentration
60.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
28
Showing the largest 8 of 28
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$19.3KPnL+$1.5KAvg91.7¢Current99.4¢19,381.86Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$7KPnL−$1.2KAvg26.2¢Current22.5¢31,288.94Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$4.2KPnL+$1.5KAvg10.1¢Current15.8¢26,298.93Shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$758PnL+$46Avg91.9¢Current97.9¢774.78Shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$215PnL+$72Avg38.5¢Current58¢370.46Shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$161PnL−$1KAvg2.9¢Current0.4¢40,160.05Shares
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$109PnL−$4Avg16¢Current15.5¢701.74Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$77PnL−$2.2KAvg13.3¢Current0.5¢17,073.21Shares
Showing 8 of 28 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Hauchn: 37.3% win rate over 59 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.5%, n=106 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−14.3% over 105 fills); +$234.4K lifetime P&L, $8.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.