Trader profile

0xf0b2…b501

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-19

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$942Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 98% underwater · 4 days ago

Lifetime volume$91.4K35 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded26Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−31.2% / $95% interval −330.1% to +267.8%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded4 days ago

Current position value: $1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$12.7K
Concentration: 46.6%
Positions: 18

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

Over · YesValue$646PnL−$662Avg55.7¢Current27.5¢2,348.01Shares

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?

YesValue$602PnL−$398Avg40.3¢Current24.3¢2,481.16Shares

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

NoValue$92PnL−$8Avg71.9¢Current66¢139.1Shares

Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?

YesValue$46PnL+$18Avg18¢Current29.5¢155.56Shares

Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

YesValue$0PnL−$505Avg22.9¢Current0¢2,207.08Shares

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

YesValue$0PnL−$505Avg29¢Current0¢1,741.38Shares

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

YesValue$0PnL−$105Avg15¢Current0¢700Shares

Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg57.3¢Current0¢3,496.64Shares

Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

12 days ago

SELLNO

5-7% · 59.2¢

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Open market →$1.3K

12 days ago

BUYYES

5-7% · 40.3¢

Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Open market →$1K

12 days ago

BUYYES

53.7¢

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Open market →$1K

17 days ago

SELLNO

99.6¢

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Open market →$8.2K

2 months ago

BUYNO

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · 63¢

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Open market →$5.2K

About this wallet

Wallet 0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −31.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −330.1%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); +$942 lifetime P&L, $91.4K traded, updated 2026-09-19.