Last loaded13 hours ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$2.3K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 1 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Carlos Alcaraz · NoValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg78¢Current0¢3,000Shares
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Trader profile
Randomfool
DirectionalHistorical record
Profitable historically.
Lifetime PnL+$33.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate82.4%34 settled · past 90 days0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded115Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
+1.2% / $95% interval −5.1% to +7.4%75 settled fills · 90d window
- Finance
- +1.7%n=28 settled
- Politics
- +0.8%n=21 settled
- Sports
- −0.4%n=16 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
Measured 2 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 82.4% · Decided 34 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$9.7KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.2Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$8.8K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$12.8K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$1.1KAbout this wallet
Wallet Randomfool: 82.4% win rate over 34 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.1%, n=75 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+1.7% over 28 fills); +$33.6K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.