PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

kotyakayebaka

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet28 open · 17% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$157.8K710 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded314Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.5% / $95% interval −289.4% to +256.3%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.8%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 30 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$2.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.5K
Concentration
32%
Largest share of value
Positions
172
Showing the largest 8 of 172
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees · NoValue$881PnL−$8Avg56¢Current55.5¢1,587Shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?
NoValue$420PnL+$199Avg44.9¢Current85.5¢491Shares
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals · YesValue$413PnL−$6Avg38¢Current37.5¢1,100Shares
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
NoValue$301PnL+$36Avg81¢Current92.2¢327Shares
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage
paiN Academy · YesValue$142PnL−$13Avg59.5¢Current54.5¢260Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
NoValue$118PnL+$47Avg22¢Current36.5¢324Shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in September?
YesValue$52PnL−$8Avg30.5¢Current26.5¢195Shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$51PnL+$2Avg87¢Current90.5¢56Shares
Showing 8 of 172 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kotyakayebaka: edge −16.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −289.4%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.8% over 22 fills); −$7.1K lifetime P&L, $157.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.