PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

macrosteaks

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.7%8,804 settled · past 180 days1,134 open · 51% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,740Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+42.9% / $95% interval −101.8% to +187.6%208 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+51.5%n=148 settled
Politics
+22.6%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.7% · Decided 8,804 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$325K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1K
Concentration
3.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,146
Showing the largest 8 of 1,146
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$11KPnL+$110Avg94.3¢Current95.3¢11,505.91Shares
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
NoValue$8.9KPnL+$236Avg92¢Current94.5¢9,432Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$7.4KPnL+$31Avg95¢Current95.4¢7,713.64Shares
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
YesValue$7KPnL+$223Avg89.1¢Current92¢7,631.31Shares
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$6.9KPnL+$45Avg97.4¢Current98.1¢7,000.95Shares
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$6.6KPnL−$148Avg69¢Current67.5¢9,843Shares
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$69Avg96¢Current97.1¢6,500Shares
Will Army Black Knights Win the 2026 American Conference?
NoValue$6KPnL+$381Avg88¢Current94¢6,370Shares
Showing 8 of 1,146 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet macrosteaks: 59.7% win rate over 8,804 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +42.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −101.8%, n=208 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+51.5% over 148 fills); −$7.2K lifetime P&L, $17.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.