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Trader profile

ThePraetorian

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$74.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.8%203 settled · past 180 days0 open · 23 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M623 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded187Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.7% / $95% interval −87.0% to +41.6%321 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.7%n=321 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.8% · Decided 203 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$298.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
96
Showing the largest 8 of 96
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Marcondes vs. Dedura-Palomero: Match O/U 21.5
OverValue$0PnL−$400Avg53¢Current0¢754.74Shares
ITF Bacau: Radu David Turcanu vs Tudor Batin
Radu David Turcanu · YesValue$0PnL−$6KAvg51.1¢Current0¢11,742.83Shares
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basiletti
Noemi Basiletti · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg57¢Current0¢3,508.77Shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg42.5¢Current0¢9,411.76Shares
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx · NoValue$0PnL−$18.9KAvg24.7¢Current0¢76,609.11Shares
Gorgodze vs. Kabbaj: Match O/U 21.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg53¢Current0¢566.04Shares
Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$800Avg50.6¢Current0¢1,581.4Shares
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Julie Struplova
Julie Struplova · NoValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg24.9¢Current0¢15,752.05Shares
Showing 8 of 96 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ThePraetorian: 44.8% win rate over 203 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −87.0%, n=321 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.7% over 321 fills); −$74.3K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-20.