PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x146fb4c5

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate16.7%442 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded625Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+40.0% / $95% interval −703.3% to +783.3%10 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+40.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 16.7% · Decided 442 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$128
Snapshot cash PnL
−$55.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
290
Showing the largest 8 of 290
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$128PnL+$48Avg5.3¢Current8.5¢1,500.03Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg1.5¢Current0¢4,999.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$31Avg1¢Current0¢3,000.01Shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$420Avg8.4¢Current0¢5,010.48Shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg0.6¢Current0¢1,999.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$27Avg0.7¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$79Avg1¢Current0¢7,999.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$143Avg7.1¢Current0¢1,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 290 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x146fb4c5: 16.7% win rate over 442 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +40.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −703.3%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+40.0% over 10 fills); −$1.3K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-22.