PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

demo258

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.9%1,181 settled · past 90 days9 open · 94% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,454Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.4% / $95% interval −42.9% to +43.7%53 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.4%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.9% · Decided 1,181 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$211.2K
Concentration
18.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
834
Showing the largest 8 of 834
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Mansão MarombaValue$213PnL+$110Avg24.2¢Current50¢425Shares
Mansão MarombaValue$206PnL+$103Avg24.9¢Current50¢411.72Shares
Team Aqua ASD · NoValue$127PnL−$36Avg25¢Current19.5¢652.97Shares
ØTF · NoValue$120PnL+$10Avg39¢Current42.5¢282Shares
Walczaki · NoValue$118PnL+$38Avg34¢Current50¢235.29Shares
Team Aqua ASD · NoValue$104PnL−$95Avg44.2¢Current23¢450.24Shares
Bubliki · YesValue$78PnL+$1Avg56.6¢Current57.5¢135Shares
Team Aqua ASD · NoValue$76PnL−$39Avg27.1¢Current18¢423Shares
Showing 8 of 834 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet demo258: 37.9% win rate over 1,181 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −42.9%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.4% over 53 fills); −$4.1K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.