PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

keasiyo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$640KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate29.3%41 settled · past 90 days13 open · 87% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$22.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded123Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−33.0% / $95% interval −79.4% to +13.3%53 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−33.0%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 29.3% · Decided 41 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$51.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$668.3K
Concentration
42%
Largest share of value
Positions
138
Showing the largest 8 of 138
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YesValue$21.4KPnL−$14.2KAvg39¢Current23.5¢91,221.75Shares
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
YesValue$9.9KPnL−$3.6KAvg43.7¢Current32¢30,862.84Shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
YesValue$7KPnL+$2.4KAvg28.7¢Current43.5¢16,043.52Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$6.2KPnL−$13.3KAvg19.5¢Current6.3¢99,963.51Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$5KPnL+$2.4KAvg7¢Current13.5¢37,493.26Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$715PnL+$85Avg7.7¢Current8.8¢8,169.51Shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
YesValue$404PnL−$307Avg22¢Current12.5¢3,228.55Shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$133PnL−$398Avg0.6¢Current0.2¢88,448.88Shares
Showing 8 of 138 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet keasiyo: 29.3% win rate over 41 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −33.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.4%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−33.0% over 53 fills); +$640K lifetime P&L, $22.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.