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Trader profile

PajamaSam

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$21.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.9%291 settled · past 180 days9 open · 60% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded726Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.3% / $95% interval −84.2% to +65.7%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.9% · Decided 291 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$5.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.3K
Concentration
18.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$103Avg58.3¢Current53.2¢2,000.48Shares
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
NoValue$960PnL−$34Avg96¢Current92.8¢1,035.36Shares
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?
NoValue$877PnL+$42Avg93.7¢Current98.5¢890.81Shares
Will Iran target Egypt by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$832PnL−$21Avg97.8¢Current95.4¢871.94Shares
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$675PnL+$23Avg94¢Current97.3¢693.91Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$570PnL+$30Avg27¢Current28.5¢1,999.99Shares
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$484PnL+$9Avg95¢Current96.7¢500Shares
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
NoValue$373PnL+$1Avg97.4¢Current97.8¢381.98Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PajamaSam: 73.9% win rate over 291 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −84.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$21.9K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.