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Trader profile

Fourth20hokage

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet3 open · 92% underwater · 10 days ago
Lifetime volume$243.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded464Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$11
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7K
Concentration
45.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
108
Showing the largest 8 of 108
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$5PnL+$0.32Avg2.5¢Current2.7¢188.91Shares
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YesValue$4PnL−$2Avg1.1¢Current0.8¢466.5Shares
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YesValue$3PnL−$2Avg0.5¢Current0.3¢1,040Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg27¢Current0¢55.56Shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg16¢Current0¢125Shares
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan
Yue Yuan · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg12¢Current0¢83.33Shares
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever · NoValue$0PnL−$7Avg25¢Current0¢28Shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg23¢Current0¢21.74Shares
Showing 8 of 108 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Fourth20hokage: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$3K lifetime P&L, $243.6K traded, updated 2026-09-21.