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Trader profile

StarMaster

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$84.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.9%1,187 settled · past 90 days208 open · 24% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,246Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.5% / $95% interval −200.5% to +181.5%133 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+0.3%n=19 settled
Politics
−8.9%n=91 settled
Sports
−12.0%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.9% · Decided 1,187 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$102.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$11.2K
Concentration
4.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
209
Showing the largest 8 of 209
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$35Avg88.2¢Current87.5¢5,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$4.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg65¢Current86.5¢5,000Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$650Avg71.8¢Current93.5¢3,000Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$607Avg65.3¢Current85.5¢2,999.94Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$23Avg97¢Current95.9¢2,000Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$378Avg50.9¢Current63.5¢3,000.24Shares
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$10Avg93¢Current92.5¢2,000Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$850Avg50¢Current92.5¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 209 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StarMaster: 53.9% win rate over 1,187 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −200.5%, n=133 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+0.3% over 19 fills); +$84.3K lifetime P&L, $12.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.