PolyTrace
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Trader profile

gardiner

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$182.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$6.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,169Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.5% / $95% interval −17.5% to +22.5%103 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.5%n=103 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$612.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
445
Showing the largest 8 of 445
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$287Avg45¢Current0¢637.89Shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
NoValue$0PnL−$6.7KAvg41¢Current0¢16,346.6Shares
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina
Linda NoskovaValue$0PnL−$124Avg36.7¢Current0¢336.61Shares
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo · NoValue$0PnL−$91Avg45¢Current0¢201.19Shares
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce
Martin Landaluce · NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg42¢Current0¢6,659Shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Mirra Andreeva
Antonia Ruzic · YesValue$0PnL−$0.04Avg9¢Current0¢0.44Shares
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Daniel Altmaier · YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg41.7¢Current0¢2.55Shares
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Blockx · YesValue$0PnL−$141Avg22¢Current0¢642.49Shares
Showing 8 of 445 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gardiner: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +2.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −17.5%, n=103 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.5% over 103 fills); +$182.2K lifetime P&L, $6.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.