Trader profile

Lawfulworm43

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$71.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…3 open · 100% underwater · 13 hours ago

Lifetime volume$634.9K558 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded173Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−21.5% / $95% interval −47.1% to +4.0%64 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: −21.5%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded13 hours ago

Current position value: $1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$30.5K
Concentration: 65%
Positions: 53

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YesValue$684PnL−$665Avg25.9¢Current13.2¢5,200Shares

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YesValue$210PnL−$284Avg16.8¢Current7.2¢2,939.27Shares

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

YesValue$158PnL−$38Avg39¢Current31.5¢500Shares

National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina

Ekaterina Alexandrova · YesValue$0PnL−$96Avg31¢Current0¢310Shares

Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)

Chiefs · YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg47¢Current0¢5,319.15Shares

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

NoValue$0PnL−$693Avg34.9¢Current0¢1,982.98Shares

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

UpValue$0PnL−$25Avg45¢Current0¢55.56Shares

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh Pirates · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg46¢Current0¢217.39Shares

Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

3 days ago

BUYYES

Spread -6.5 · 47¢

Colts vs. ChiefsOpen market →$2.5K

3 days ago

SELLNO

Spread -6.5 · 53¢

Colts vs. ChiefsOpen market →$2.8K

4 days ago

SELLYES

Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain · 35¢

UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Open market →$1.3K

4 days ago

BUYNO

Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain · 65¢

UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Open market →$2.4K

Open

4 days ago

SELLYES

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy · 72¢

UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Open market →$1K

About this wallet

Wallet Lawfulworm43: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −21.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.1%, n=64 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.5% over 64 fills); −$71.5K lifetime P&L, $634.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.