PolyTrace
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Trader profile

a8999

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$168.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32.2%2,168 settled · past 90 days6 open · 90% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,523Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.1% / $95% interval −94.4% to +122.6%231 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+15.5%n=213 settled
Unmapped
−1.8%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32.2% · Decided 2,168 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$107.2K
Concentration
30.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
126
Showing the largest 8 of 126
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$584PnL+$11Avg48.6¢Current49.5¢1,180.75Shares
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner
SU Esports · YesValue$445PnL−$294Avg54.8¢Current33¢1,347.47Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winner
The Otter Side · NoValue$320PnL+$50Avg27¢Current32¢999.98Shares
Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)
Pyramid IV Esports · NoValue$317PnL−$183Avg25.2¢Current16¢1,983Shares
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A
Pyramid IV Esports · NoValue$151PnL−$81Avg10¢Current6.5¢2,321.98Shares
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner
SU Esports · YesValue$80PnL+$4Avg54¢Current56.5¢141.43Shares
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasValue$0PnL−$459Avg19.3¢Current0¢2,376.66Shares
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 3 Winner
eSuba · NoValue$0PnL−$162Avg12¢Current0¢1,348.96Shares
Showing 8 of 126 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet a8999: 32.2% win rate over 2,168 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −94.4%, n=231 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+15.5% over 213 fills); −$168.7K lifetime P&L, $9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.