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Trader profile

mengshangzai

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32.4%37 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M183 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded36Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.1% / $95% interval −135.6% to +125.4%86 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.1%n=86 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32.4% · Decided 37 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$126.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg58¢Current1,724.14Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$16.1KAvg22.9¢Current70,000.39Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$20.2KAvg60¢Current33,667.31Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$7.2KAvg10.3¢Current70,388.35Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$14.3KAvg21¢Current68,454.39Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg3.4¢Current80,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$9.7KAvg40.7¢Current23,867.08Shares
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg1.7¢Current0.15Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mengshangzai: 32.4% win rate over 37 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −135.6%, n=86 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.1% over 86 fills); −$1K lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-19.