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Trader profile

robustmst

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$41.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M269 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded107Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.3% / $95% interval −190.2% to +175.5%119 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.7%n=100 settled
Crypto
−23.3%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 33 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$202.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
52
Showing the largest 8 of 52
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$984Avg42.3¢Current0¢2,323.59Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$620Avg54.1¢Current0¢1,145.88Shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
YesValue$0PnL−$156Avg11.4¢Current0¢1,360.65Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic
Roman Safiullin · YesValue$0PnL−$6.9KAvg39¢Current0¢17,572.62Shares
Quito: Alan Magadan vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Alan Magadan · YesValue$0PnL−$749Avg31¢Current0¢2,416.13Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$954Avg58.7¢Current0¢1,624.27Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg47.5¢Current0¢10,331.12Shares
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov
Stefan Kozlov · NoValue$0PnL−$8KAvg27.7¢Current0¢28,920.68Shares
Showing 8 of 52 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet robustmst: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −190.2%, n=119 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.7% over 100 fills); −$41.7K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-21.