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Trader profile

Icannotwin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate4.4%977 settled · past 180 days16 open · 37% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,247Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.6% / $95% interval −489.7% to +470.5%15 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−9.6%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 4.4% · Decided 977 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$2.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$55.9K
Concentration
43.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,372
Showing the largest 8 of 1,372
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$893PnL+$798Avg4.7¢Current44.5¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$853PnL+$757Avg4.7¢Current42.5¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$191PnL+$95Avg4.7¢Current9.5¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$64PnL−$31Avg4.7¢Current3.2¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$41PnL−$54Avg4.7¢Current2.1¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$7PnL−$65Avg4.7¢Current0.5¢1,504.76Shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$94Avg4.7¢Current0.1¢2,006.34Shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$94Avg4.7¢Current0.1¢2,006.34Shares
Showing 8 of 1,372 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Icannotwin: 4.4% win rate over 977 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −489.7%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−9.6% over 15 fills); −$3.1K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.