PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xebc6…4608

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35%20 settled · past 90 days2 open · 97% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$464K631 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded38Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.1% / $95% interval −262.9% to +216.6%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.1%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35% · Decided 20 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57.3K
Concentration
97.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5.8KPnL−$4.3KAvg45¢Current26¢22,435.67Shares
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$125PnL+$125Avg0¢Current1.3¢9,999.87Shares
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Pipsqueak+4 · YesValue$0PnL−$7.8KAvg39¢Current0¢19,999.91Shares
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
Zero TenacityValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg24.8¢Current0¢7,565.81Shares
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
Yakult Brothers · NoValue$0PnL−$5.2KAvg52¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
GamerLegion · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg26.9¢Current0¢11,328.92Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Aurora · YesValue$0PnL−$5.5KAvg55¢Current0¢9,999.97Shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg31.7¢Current0¢9,732.56Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xebc6a80e75624ca2e5ec890606d8f4587d144608: 35% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −23.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −262.9%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.1% over 40 fills); −$9.9K lifetime P&L, $464K traded, updated 2026-09-23.