PolyTrace
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Trader profile

self-defence

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.8%490 settled · past 90 days7 open · 96% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$996.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,841Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.4% / $95% interval −62.4% to +65.2%35 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.4%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.8% · Decided 490 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$171
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20.1K
Concentration
31.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
103
Showing the largest 8 of 103
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$54PnL+$4Avg89¢Current96.8¢56.18Shares
OverValue$51PnL−$48Avg99¢Current51.5¢99.97Shares
NoValue$31PnL−$38Avg68¢Current30.5¢100Shares
NoValue$14PnL−$12Avg71¢Current39¢36Shares
Estral Esports · YesValue$9PnL+$0.45Avg89¢Current94¢9.09Shares
NoValue$8PnL−$9Avg45.9¢Current21.5¢35Shares
NoValue$5PnL−$4Avg83¢Current44¢11.18Shares
Vitality · YesValue$0PnL−$102Avg83.9¢Current121.8Shares
Showing 8 of 103 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet self-defence: 81.8% win rate over 490 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −62.4%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.4% over 35 fills); +$13.3K lifetime P&L, $996.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.