PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SuperavitFiscal

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$184.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate79.1%220 settled · past 90 days28 open · 3% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded298Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.7% / $95% interval −181.0% to +141.5%444 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=27 settled
Politics
−15.0%n=308 settled
Finance
−31.4%n=108 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.1% · Decided 220 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$409.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$140.3K
Concentration
38.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
61
Showing the largest 8 of 61
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$159.2KPnL+$46.5KAvg41.6¢Current58.8¢271,026.42Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$80.1KPnL+$10.9KAvg82.6¢Current95.6¢83,756.82Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$41.2KPnL+$14.7KAvg62.8¢Current97.9¢42,105Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$35KPnL+$8KAvg45.9¢Current59.5¢58,771.96Shares
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
YesValue$19KPnL−$327Avg83.4¢Current82¢23,212.29Shares
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
NoValue$17.8KPnL+$1.7KAvg79.1¢Current87.5¢20,369.31Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$14.5KPnL−$2.6KAvg83.1¢Current70.5¢20,523.71Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$9.2KPnL+$86Avg81.7¢Current82.5¢11,150.12Shares
Showing 8 of 61 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SuperavitFiscal: 79.1% win rate over 220 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −19.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −181.0%, n=444 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 27 fills); −$184.9K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.