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Trader profile

phredmoz

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$121.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.4%636 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,052Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.2% / $95% interval −110.9% to +90.4%323 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.2%n=323 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.4% · Decided 636 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$255
Snapshot cash PnL
−$169.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
203
Showing the largest 8 of 203
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Plovdiv 4: Max Wiskandt vs Carlos Taberner
Carlos Taberner · NoValue$255PnL+$8Avg78¢Current80.5¢317.22Shares
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi · NoValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg87.9¢Current0¢2,536.39Shares
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec
Veronika Erjavec · NoValue$0PnL−$528Avg39.9¢Current0¢1,322.83Shares
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro
Emma Navarro · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg42¢Current0¢2,395.26Shares
Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg69.5¢Current0¢1,607Shares
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama
Kayla Day · YesValue$0PnL−$836Avg62¢Current0¢1,348.16Shares
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno · NoValue$0PnL−$177Avg47¢Current0¢376Shares
Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg74.5¢Current0¢1,544.68Shares
Showing 8 of 203 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 25.7¢
unavailable
$1.5K

About this wallet

Wallet phredmoz: 54.4% win rate over 636 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −110.9%, n=323 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.2% over 323 fills); −$121.7K lifetime P&L, $4.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.